Two questions from the Jagged Frontier
The 'jagged frontier' is about surprising capability gaps; I would argue that the real jagged frontier here is the unexpected change in potential outcomes
The jaggedness of AI - the difference in capabilities at the edge of the frontier across different types of work - is well covered here https://helentoner.substack.com/p/taking-jaggedness-seriously
Making bets on how businesses evolve when outcomes are jagged is extremely hard.
Also linked
- @disnetdev.com “> At last, we have invented the abundance machine from the cautionary tale "the abundance machine is really cool actually, someone should make one of those". The threat to intelligence on demand is not resource scarcity, it is unexpected externalities -- like, say, holding a model ransom because you didn't donate to the President's Emotional Support Ballroom Fund.”